Panthers correctly play the odds, go for two

Navarro survived a hairy District 28-2A contest Friday with a 29-28 road victory over Poth, and the Panthers eked out that final one point margin with a touchdown and two-point conversion (both by Jacob Garcia) with just 25 seconds remaining in the game.

I’m excited to talk to Coach Les Goad in this week’s Panther Report about his decision to go for two rather than kick a tying extra point after Garcia’s touchdown.  Be sure to tune in to 1580-AM, KWED, or listen online at www.seguintoday.com for Coach Goad’s thoughts on the game – the interview will air during the 6 p.m. hour Friday leading up to our broadcast of the Seguin – Boerne-Champion game.

I’m going to go ahead and hazard a guess as to what Coach Goad was thinking, and tell you that I love the decision he made.  Keep in mind that Navarro kicker Tim Gill is a perfect 35-35 on PAT kicks this season.

Basically, Navarro had two choices in that scenario: 1) Hand the football of to All-State running-back Jacob Garcia one more time and ask him to make two yards, to win or lose the football game.  2) Play an alternate-possession overtime in which you have to start at the 25-yard line, find a way to score, and then stop a Poth team that’s given you fits all night from scoring when they get their turn on offense.

So the question, I’m guessing, that went through Coach Goad’s head was “Will an alternate possession overtime give us a better opportunity to win the football game than one handoff to an All-State running-back from the two-yard line?”  The answer is a resounding “no.”  And that’s why I love Coach Goad’s decision.  The Panther offensive line already had the Poth defense on its heels, and Garcia had already found the end zone four times in the game. 

Again…I’m purely speculating about Coach Goad’s thought process, but I plan to ask him about it during this week’s Panther Report.  I’m anxious to hear what he has to say.

As I see it, the decision was no gamble, but rather the polar opposite.  Given Navarro’s personnel in the backfield and on the offensive line, there’s no way on earth an alternating-possession overtime presents a better opportunity to win a football game than one handoff to Jacob Garcia at the two-yard line.  Coach Goad did play the percentages.  Going to overtime would have been a far greater gamble.

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